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Prediction market bettors are the new political pundits. Why are we listening to them? | Judith Levine

Sites like Kalshi and Polymarket offer faux populism as elites reap the benefits – and voters risk being misled Online betting is a bit like Donald Trump. The prediction markets – platforms where users bet on whether events will occur – pretend to be populist, pushing the nabobs aside and representing the “wisdom of…

Covered by 3 sources from 2 countries. First reported by The Guardian ·

Headlines compared

Common ground: most headlines mention “Prediction market” and “Kalshi”.

Different angles:

  • The Guardian “bettors are the new political pundits”
  • Bloomberg “Midterm Election Trading”
  • CBS Sports “trade on cricket”

How 3 newspapers cover this story

  1. The GuardianUnited KingdomFirst report

    Prediction market bettors are the new political pundits. Why are we listening to them? | Judith Levine

    Sites like Kalshi and Polymarket offer faux populism as elites reap the benefits – and voters risk being misled Online betting is a bit like Donald Trump. The prediction markets – platforms where users bet on whether events will occur – pretend to be populist, pushing the nabobs aside and representing the “wisdom of…

  2. BloombergUnited States

    Midterm Election Trading on Kalshi and Polymarket Lags Prediction Market Boom

    The US presidential election in 2024 served as a big-bang moment for prediction markets. Two years later, their forecasts on the 2026 midterms are getting plenty of attention, but the underlying trading illustrates how the platforms have struggled to expand beyond a few booming categories.

  3. CBS SportsUnited States

    Kalshi cricket 2026: How to trade on cricket prediction markets

    You can use Kalshi prediction markets to trade event contracts during cricket matches

Coverage details

3 outlets from 2 countries are covering this story: The Guardian, Bloomberg and CBS Sports. The Guardian published it first, on November 2, 2026; the last outlet to join was CBS Sports, 32 hours later.

Key names in the coverage: Kalshi, Polymarket Lags Prediction Market Boom, Midterm Election Trading, Judith Levine and Donald Trump.

By country: United States (2), United Kingdom (1).

More news from November 2, 2026 →

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